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Geoff Schwartz
FOX Sporting activities Betting Analyst
7 days 13 in the NFL was a person for the publications.
The 49ers obtained a dominant win in Philadelphia, the Packers defeated the Chiefs on Sunday Night time Football as large underdogs, and the Chargers coated a match with six full details. Then the Bengals — with Jake Browning at QB — concluded the 7 days by profitable in Jacksonville.
Will 7 days 14 generate yet another remarkable weekend?
Let’s leap into my most effective bets to discuss.
New England Patriots @ Pittsburgh Steelers (8:15 p.m. ET Thursday, Prime Movie)
The Patriots offense has arrived at rock bottom, scoring just 13 factors about the last a few video games. The Patriots have shed three games in a row, even however their protection has authorized 10 details or fewer. There is no deal with for the offense either, as their quarterback problem is downright bad, with Bailey Zappe now using snaps below centre and Mac Jones benched.
The Steelers defense has carried that crew this period as the offense carries on to flounder with an offensive coordinator alter and now an wounded Kenny Pickett. Pittsburgh’s protection did not engage in up to typical on Sunday versus the Cardinals in a bad property decline, so the Steelers will use the Patriots offense as a get-correct circumstance on Thursday night.
I’m wagering on the Patriots to proceed their struggles shifting the ball.
Select: Patriots team total Under 12 factors scored
Chiefs drop to Packers in 7 days 13 — Can K.C. acquire the Tremendous Bowl with this offense?
Buffalo Expenditures @ Kansas Town Chiefs (4:25 p.m. ET Sunday, CBS)
I make it a behavior to wager on Patrick Mahomes when he’s a favorite of three points or much less. While the Chiefs offense seems trapped in the mud and, in contrast to most seasons, there is a battle to defeat problems, the Expenditures protection might present Kansas City with an prospect to score details.
The Payments defense has struggled these days with injuries. Its defensive effectiveness ranking has dropped down to 17. The Chiefs offense is shut to clicking if a solitary wide receiver can capture a soccer on a constant basis. I also like to wager on the Chiefs when people today depend them out. Very last period, they lost on this exact same weekend to the Bengals and then did not drop yet again for the relaxation of the 2022 period. It’s now or by no means for that offense to get it alongside one another.
It does get worried me that the Expenditures are off a bye and surface to have potentially turned a corner on offense in opposition to the Eagles in their very last sport. The Bills fired Ken Dorsey as their enjoy caller and with Joe Brady calling plays, they appeared greater. Nevertheless, the Chiefs protection is just one of the much better units this time, position ninth in DVOA.
I assume the Chiefs get and go over.
Decide on: Chiefs (-2.5) to gain by additional than 2.5 factors
NFL Rankings: Brock Purdy will help 49ers rise C.J. Stroud, Texans in the major 10?
Tennessee Titans @ Miami Dolphins (8:15 p.m. ET Monday, ESPN)
The Miami Dolphins go on to steamroll groups with a shedding document after gathering a 30-point acquire in opposition to the Commanders on Sunday.
The Dolphins have crushed the Broncos by 50, the Giants by 16, Panthers and Jets by 21 and so on. Their offense is unstoppable when going through a defense which is not bodily adequate to punch them in the mouth and stunt their speed. The Dolphins protection has transformed with the addition of Jalen Ramsey back again into the lineup. It has nonetheless to allow more than 17 points with him roaming the secondary. The Dolphins are facing the Titans, who experienced a “breakout” offensive video game against the Colts in a loss on Sunday.
The even bigger issue for the Titans in this sport is their defense functioning with no its finest player in Jeffrey Simmons. I just really do not see how they quit this Dolphins offense except if the Dolphins implode by themselves.
I will consider the Dolphins to deal with 13.5.
Decide on: Dolphins (-13.5) to earn by additional than 13.5 points
Geoff Schwartz is an NFL analyst for FOX Sports. He performed 8 seasons in the NFL for five distinctive teams. He started off at suitable deal with for the College of Oregon for three seasons and was a second-team All-Pac-12 variety his senior calendar year. Adhere to him on Twitter @GeoffSchwartz.
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